Monday, May 6, 2013

#2 Barcelona Regal- Mes Que Un F4

Please read Prologue first,



After a loss against Oly in F4 last year, Barca's roster stayed nearly same. Javai and Tomic was major  incomers. They adapted team in an instant and gave more than expected, especially  Tomic became a major piece for the both side of court. Barcelona's biggest loss in this season definetly Pete Mikael. He was only person who can score in the painted area from backcourt. That will Barca's weak side in El Clasico beyond any doubt. Pascual must find a way to score when team stucked in offense like game 2-3-4 against Pana. Besides CJ Wallace's doubtful health will effect Barca's rotation in 4.


T-CON values show us  so far Barca's MVP is Tomic. They have only 2 player in top 10. That demonstrates Barca came F4 with un-selfhood performances. In CSKA's analyze CSKA had 4 player top 10.

Guards of Barcelona's play making ability values can be discernible above. Barca had 2 great playmakers but this years numbers are not very well when you compare them against F4 opponents.



If someone mention F4 shooter, he will name Navarro somewhere in talking. But apart from La Bomba hard to say Barca has reliable shooters. As we saw in Top 8 against Pana in the crunch times, Barca can have difficulty to find someone to spread offense.


Rebounds one of Barca's strongest side. Tomic and Jawai don't let team trouble in rebounds with their size supermacies. And also they have great backcourt rebounders like Sada. But CJ Wallace's health issue will be important in rebounds too.


Past a few years, Pascual made one of best defensive team in Europe. Despite of big change in front court they still one of best. Above, TDR(Team Defensive Rating) table shows Barca's defense performances' round by round. Decreasing in the rates related with opponents strength but Barca's rates still very good when compared with F4 opponents. Graph of TDR can be shown below.


The progress of Barca offense is shown below with Team Offensive Rating (TOR).


The offense of Barca was always above from EL average till playoffs. Against Pana they struggled in the offense. And 3,04 value take them below from averages.I think, the value of TOR in F4 will decisive for Barca's success. Here is graph of TOR for Barca.


Last and the most important  part of analyze is Play Oriented Winning Percentages. We use this analyze to determine which number of play in the game will serve the teams. First opponent of Barca is rival enemy  Real Madrid.


In the Real Madrid-Barcelona game 83 number of play will be breaking point. That means the game below 83 number of the play will be advantage for Barcelona. As expected, high tempo will serve Real Madrid in F4 matchup against Barca.


If Barca pass Real Madrid against Oly things will change. This time breaking point is 77. And above 77 play number will be advantage for Barca.

As Doğuş mentioned in CSKA Analyze, In possible CSKA- Barca match-up things will be different. In this game will be two breaking point. Till 66 play number and above 85 play number Barca will be front-runner of the game.


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*: Points
**: Possessions

Note: Every analysis ,which is conducted for all players of the Euroleague, is applied for the players who had played at least 15 game in the Euroleague this season.









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