Now in TOP 16 there are 24 points guards who have major roles for their teams (24 point guards each are playing +20 min per game). And we tried to rank these players' playmaking abilities with numbers. Of course, there can be some points we missed or we couldn't measure right now.
After some researches we selected some important advanced stat which is contributed before by statisticians and that suits our thoughts uterly. And also we tried to produced some stats to rank players playmaking ability. Here are the stats we used.
1-Assist Rate: That formula works to fix players' assists percentage up to teams' pace. That is a rate between players' assists and teams' possessions while player on the court. #1 is Thomas Huertel, #2 is Dimitris Diamantidis.
2- % Pass: That is the part of Bob Chaikin's touches stat.It refers" the percentage of a player's touches that ended with him passing to a teammate in an attacking position on the floor". Here, there is an assumption, Bob Chaikin assumes approximately 1 of 5 passes of player ends with an assist. Players who made more assist with less touches would be at the top of the list. #1 is Evangelos Mantzaris, #2 is Omar Cook.
3-Turnover Rate: That is different from usual TO rate. Usual one is not sufficient to contribute players' offensive activeness which is the risk taken for turn the ball over. It's a fact that players who are more active in the offense are more likely to make turnovers. So,it would be unfair to interpret ballhandling skills with only turnover numbers. But with our turnover rate, we've almost eliminated that problem. Thus, this gives more realistic results. #1 is again Evangelos Mantzaris(he losses 0,4 ball per game!!), #2 is Bobby Brown.
4-AST. Part I: This formula is assist part of Dean Oliver's Points Produced advanced formula. Assist part measures how much player "produces" score with his assists per scorring possessions. So it gives players' assists' productiveness .#1 is Bobby Brown, #2 is Dimitris Diamantidis.
5-AST. Part II: Again it is Dean Oliver's product. That one is part of scorring possessions formula. He says about that "Ast part gives how easy player made the shots for teammates". Actually it's kinda true, but also it depend on other players in the team and formula ignore it a little.#1 is Omar Cook, #2 is Dashaun Wood.
RANKING: After each rates have been found, players rates are aligned in order and found where these rates fit between 0 and 1 in normal distribution. After done that for each component, ranks sum up for overall rank.
Check results from full size by clicking the picture. |
When you look at the results, who wants or who is better in running teammates like Omar Cook, Dia, Teodosic is in the top of table as we wanted in the beginning of work. Moreover, in the deep of table there are some guards who better in the other roles like Popovic, Earl Calloway, Teddy Gibson. (Recall, that work tries only rank playmaking ability of guards not all packages of point guards.)
great work but i still think about the leadership for example; teammates of guards on the court (some teams can play with 2 guard and try to avoid TO or opponent teams defensive desicions (zone defense or pressure defense )playing multiple posisions such as SG like emir or farmar.Offensive tendencies of the coach (tempo or set offense maybe early pnr actions like khmki s planinic played all season can be different parameters that must be considered.what i m trying to say is every team try to put their best to the floor and different approaches can be determine who can be run this show better.thanks alo for this article and as a coach i m big fan of numbers and different approaches for the game
ReplyDeleteThank you for the comments. You're right, there are some more aspect should be considered for playmaking abilities. We are working on them too, yet they are more detailed and analyzing all of them is taking much more time. This post is kind of preliminary report of the analysis. Numbers in the post relatively easier to obtain and rates we used in the post are the reliable core of the playmaking ability research. With all the other factors, there will be some minor changes in the rankings. Yet,we believe these results give us a great clue about the big picture.
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